Two Moving Averages
An alternative approach to using filters is to use a fast moving average to represent the price line. The fast moving average used is normally 5 days and the slow moving average is selected according to the length of the cycle being traded.
The system still has the same weakness as the single moving average system: unprofitable trades are signaled during ranging markets.
Trading Signals
Signals are generated when the moving averages cross:
- Go long when the fast moving average crosses the slow moving average from below.
- Go short (reverse your position) when the fast moving average crosses the slow moving average from above.
You can always identify the fast moving average by its higher peaks and troughs. Take a look at the chart below.
Example
Intel Corporation is plotted with 5 day and 63 day exponential moving averages.
Mouse over chart captions to display trading signals.
- Go short when the fast moving average crosses to below the slow moving average.
- Go long when the fast moving average crosses to above the slow moving average.
- No action is taken as the MA's have not crossed.
- Go short.
- Go long.
- Go short.
- Go long.
The system reduces whipsaws but still signals losing trades during a ranging market. Trailing Stops may help to eliminate unprofitable trades.